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DaveO 
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Tue Feb 23, 2016 3:44 pm  
Bullseye wrote:
The deal Cameron has got means it is changing for the UK at least.


The deal is nothing really. The only reason he went for it was as a sop to the right wing of his party and to try and stop a defection to UKIP of some of his more nuttier MP's and party as a whole.

It was a mistake to even try it if he believes we are better off in the EU. Most of the arguments against the EU are either false (such as Dally's view we will be billions £ better off if we leave), made up (low wages are a result of EU migrants), or exaggerated (we are overrun with EU migrants often confused with asylum seekers from outside the EU).

All he has done is convince people the issues are far greater than they are in reality and can only be dealt with by getting a special deal for the UK or leaving the EU. The fact the deal doesn't look that substantial (if you agree with his aims or not) has just given the BREXIT people a lot of ammo. If they can convince people it is a rubbish deal the implication is we must not stay in the EU at all.
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Tue Feb 23, 2016 4:34 pm  
I think a far more important issue is - precisely where do Boris Johnson's loyalties lie? The guy was obviously tapped on the shoulder to be future PM years ago. But who did the tapping is another question.

IMO, it ties in closely with an astonishing admission I stumbled across reading an article written in 1976 about shady South American politics. Does anyone remember that minor ruckus which kicked off when the Daily Mail attacked Milliband Snr.?

Does anyone remember precisely WHY the Mail attacked Milliband?

This is not a trick question, BTW. But I don't think the Mail was being entirely honest, either.
Dally 
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Wed Feb 24, 2016 8:28 am  
DaveO wrote:
What do you mean "why?" Do you really not understand the fact that in order to access the single market nations have to pay towards the running of it? Do you think the other EU nations are going to pay the cost of running it and let us join for free? If you do then you are as I said, deluded.

I presume by the rest of your comment you mean if the EU wants a contribution from us to help run the single market you think we should charge them for access to ours? If so you haven't quite worked this out have you? There would be no "ours" we would (again) be part of the single market which is free trade zone so the idea we could then charge them for accessing "our" market is just idiotic. You can't impose tariffs in a free trade zone! The idea we can just slap a charge on the rest of the EU who trade with us is nonsensical and as equally deluded as your stance that if we quit we save all the contributions.

By the way the total cost of UK Government expenditure is about £750 billion a year. We pay about £8 billion to the EU. That is the gross amount, not the net amount after we get money back in terms of grants etc. So for what will eventually be less then 1% of government expenditure you want to quit the EU on the daft assumption this £8 billion is all going to go away when what will actually happen is we will remain one of the EU's biggest financial contributors (look at Norway) won't get any EU grants and won't have a say in the rules and regulations we have to comply with. Brilliant!

And after all that we then have to start negotiating free-trade agreements with all the major economies outside of the EU. You think that will cost nothing to set up and run? Do you think we will get as favourable a set of terms standing alone as we do as part of the EU?

An inane post. The fact that others pay for access to the dingle market is irrelevant. It is not set in stone. We are in a much stronger negotiating position and would be free to negotiate our own terms. The Germans are pragmatic and it would be in their interests to allow that and so it would probably happen. Even if it did not it would not matter much in the long-term. If our exports to the EU were subject to tariffs we would still be better if long-term because the EU is a failing and dime would say failed duper state. If we stay in it will drag us down. We will have no bargaining power if the electorate say yes as our politicians will have no threat to back up their demands.

If you feel that we could not negotiate as mentioned above, that implies that the EU is incapable of reform in the medium term at least. Again, that is one its major problems and for economic security we therefore need to get out.

Like all the in crowd all you come up with is short-term scaremongering. This is a long-term issue of the UK future destiny. Even if there were a short-term blip in the long-term it is my view that we would be much more prosperous over time.

In any event like all forced together blocs it will eventually collapse through people power and probably knowing Europe in bloodshed - ironically the thing it was originally set up to prevent. The writing is already on the wall with the migrant crisis and the economic cries acting as a catalyst. One more shock - like a major bank collapse or similar could tip it over. Likewise, in the unlikely event we vote out the thing may disintegrate - others will demand referenda.
DaveO 
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Wed Feb 24, 2016 3:18 pm  
Dally wrote:
An inane post. The fact that others pay for access to the dingle market is irrelevant. It is not set in stone. We are in a much stronger negotiating position and would be free to negotiate our own terms.


And you call my post inane? Of course it is relevant what others pay to access the single market. We now have concrete proof you are totally deluded.

This argument that we are in a much stronger negotiating position is just plain stupidity on your part. Where have you dreamt that one up? Have you just missed the saga of Cameron trying to negotiate a deal and coming away with naff all? Yet you are suggesting once we are out having spurned the EU they will roll out the red carpet and just let us benefit from the single market for free? You don't think for a minute that would not simply break the EU up overnight?

The Germans are pragmatic and it would be in their interests to allow that and so it would probably happen. Even if it did not it would not matter much in the long-term. If our exports to the EU were subject to tariffs we would still be better if long-term because the EU is a failing and dime would say failed duper state. If we stay in it will drag us down. We will have no bargaining power if the electorate say yes as our politicians will have no threat to back up their demands.


I have seen you spout some nonsense on here before but that takes the biscuit. No it won't happen. There is no reason for it to. We have to ask them for access to 400 million consumers. They in return get access to 65 million. We have no clout to demand anything except what they put on the table.

If you feel that we could not negotiate as mentioned above, that implies that the EU is incapable of reform in the medium term at least. Again, that is one its major problems and for economic security we therefore need to get out.


You aren't talking about negotiation but us dictating to them what we will pay (or not) for access the market. If they won't jump to our tune getting out doesn't solve anything as we are in exactly the same position.

Like all the in crowd all you come up with is short-term scaremongering. This is a long-term issue of the UK future destiny. Even if there were a short-term blip in the long-term it is my view that we would be much more prosperous over time.

In any event like all forced together blocs it will eventually collapse through people power and probably knowing Europe in bloodshed - ironically the thing it was originally set up to prevent. The writing is already on the wall with the migrant crisis and the economic cries acting as a catalyst. One more shock - like a major bank collapse or similar could tip it over. Likewise, in the unlikely event we vote out the thing may disintegrate - others will demand referenda.


It is not short term scaremongering. It's common sense. And in case yo missed it we haven't had a full on war between any members of EU since 1945, so it worked on that score as well. It's nationalism (and the Le Pen faction in France) that is far more dangerous in that regard.
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Wed Feb 24, 2016 5:50 pm  
Dave O: The "rules" are not set in stone. To decide they are is ridiculous and if you believe everything is then that supports the case for Brexit. They ARE in fact negotiable. The fact that Germany has such a big balance of payments surplus with us makes the 400 million v 65 million point redundant. You must remember we are the 5th biggest economy in the world and so they will wish to trade with us. Lord Lawson takes this view and as he says even if we cannot negotiate better terms and have to accept tariffs - so what? In the long-term we could deal with that, just as we did before we joined the EU. We would find our way in the world - as the UK is just about the most creative and innovative place on the globe.

Thatcher used to talk about the need to encourage those "risk-takers" (entrepreneurs) and it seems our PM and defeatist people like you think it is too risky to pull out of a failing super-state that we don't even want to be a part of! If that's what has become of this nation there is no hope for the UK's future.

You also forget that if (probably when) we vote yes then it will be revenge time for a decade or two to come - no British politician will have a leg to stand on in Brussels' negotiations because the people will have been deemed to have spoken. On the other hand, if we vote out it is likely that the EU will face an existential crisis and there may well be no one to worry about paying for single market access.
Last edited by Dally on Wed Feb 24, 2016 9:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Dally 
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Wed Feb 24, 2016 5:51 pm  
We haven't had a full war with Japan since 1945. So, what is your point?
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Wed Feb 24, 2016 8:22 pm  
It's just pure scaremongering from the 'In' campaign.
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Wed Feb 24, 2016 10:49 pm  
Ajw71 wrote:
It's just pure scaremongering from the 'In' campaign.



But until the “Out” lot explain what they think their future plans entail, it is scary stuff.

The “In” lot can’t “Pooh,pooh” the alternatives, because so far it’s all so sketchy.

Just because Henley Boris wants out, should we all tick the box?
Dally 
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Thu Feb 25, 2016 8:07 am  
The Devil's Advocate wrote:
But until the “Out” lot explain what they think their future plans entail, it is scary stuff.

The “In” lot can’t “Pooh,pooh” the alternatives, because so far it’s all so sketchy.

Just because Henley Boris wants out, should we all tick the box?

Lord Owen, Lord Lawson, Boris, Gove, etc. seems like the more thoughtful and intelligent of our politicians want out. Most of those advocating in are yes men / women with a warped sense of loyalty to Calamity Cameron. The sort of people who have spent the rest of their careers pretending to be anti-EU. So the dishonest slime balls want in and the eveything / nothing to lose want out. Doesn't that help you?
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Re: Brexit Anyone? : Thu Feb 25, 2016 10:36 am  
Dally wrote:
Lord Owen, Lord Lawson, Boris, Gove, etc. seems like the more thoughtful and intelligent of our politicians want out. Most of those advocating in are yes men / women with a warped sense of loyalty to Calamity Cameron. The sort of people who have spent the rest of their careers pretending to be anti-EU. So the dishonest slime balls want in and the eveything / nothing to lose want out. Doesn't that help you?


Yes it does :lol: .

David Owen – Stabbed the Labour party in the back.

Nigel Lawson – Stabbed Thatcher in the back.

Boris Johnson – Stabbed Cameron in the back.

Your generalisation that nearly all the Conservative Politicians who want to stay in the E.U. are dishonest is utterly ludicrous.
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