: Fri May 29, 2009 4:40 pm
Lets say - for sake of argument - they stick with 14 clubs. (I suspect MIGHT go to 16 but lets say 14).
Lets assume the Championship winner is admitted automatically.
Lets assume the RFL decide to admit at least one new "Development Area" club" regardless (I have feeling will be more than one, but only if they increase beyond 14 clubs).
Lets assume that at least one more championship club easily meets the criteria.
Lets assume that Cats and Celts are allowed to stay (by whatever means) regardless, because they are from "development areas".
That's 11 slots left, so we lose three of the existing 14.
So who goes?
On anything like current performance, I'd suggest you'd be looking at Wakey Salford and Cas. And us.
If just one of those gets a decent ground between now and then (or can convince the RFL (again) that its imminent) and we don't I suggest we could be in some difficulties?
And I deliberately passed on the solvency test, cos the club cannot really NOT be solvent provided it pays its PAYE and VAT and trade suppliers - it effectively cannot borrow so can't run up huge debts in the normal course of business, and the biggest potential liability (the repayment to the council) only crystalises if we move from Odsal. What would most likely happen if things onfield do not improve is that we will end up with a cheaper and cheaper team and operation, so come franchise time we'll be failing most of the criteria anyway. IMO.