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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 2:38 pm  
Do people expect it to be as clear cut as the bookies think?

I don't think there is a gulf between the division as those odds would seem to suggest.....?!
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 3:20 pm  
If you analyse it a little, if I multiply the odds of the 4 SL clubs each being promoted, it totals up as Evens.

Looked at that way, it means the bookies think it is as likely that one will drop as it is that all four will stay up.

One of them will almost certainly be in the playoff game, whatever they do, so I suppose as a SL group, evens is about right.

If a Championship club gets the miracle of automatic promotion then that can only be Leigh, and if they don't then they will certainly be in the playoff, so Evens sounds about right to me.

Thinking about it, I don't think the overall picture of the odds is showing a huge gulf at all, it is reflecting that there is a very real chance that Leigh will oust a SL team and at the start of the season, I would not have said that would be an even money shot. But with the demise of Wakey and Salford it is at least genuinely on the cards.
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 6:40 pm  
Wigan Bull wrote:
Do people expect it to be as clear cut as the bookies think?

I don't think there is a gulf between the division as those odds would seem to suggest.....?!



Player for player I think Leigh are a tad stronger than Wakey, we're 5-10 points weaker.

The first two games are incredibly important. Its entirely plausible that Leigh could lose both of their opening games or win them both.

Having said that, I'm hoping that Salford beat both Wakey and Leigh before collapsing.
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 6:46 pm  
Can anyone clarify where the "million pound" game is played?? Neutral ground or higher placed finished at home?
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 7:12 pm  
melly88 wrote:
Can anyone clarify where the "million pound" game is played?? Neutral ground or higher placed finished at home?

At the home of the 4th placed team.
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 7:55 pm  
redeverready wrote:
At the home of the 4th placed team.


Thanks... I find that an odd one as there is a strong possibility that could be a super league side at home to a championship side. So not only is there a huge salary cap difference, there could be home advantage as well! I think a neutral ground would be best call for all concerned. Anyone agree or am I being picky??
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 7:57 pm  
melly88 wrote:
Thanks... I find that an odd one as there is a strong possibility that could be a super league side at home to a championship side. So not only is there a huge salary cap difference, there could be home advantage as well! I think a neutral ground would be best call for all concerned. Anyone agree or am I being picky??


I agree, unless of course we are at home. In which case I don't agree. :D
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 8:26 pm  
debaser wrote:
I agree, unless of course we are at home. In which case I don't agree. :D


Naturally :lol:
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 9:25 pm  
Cibaman wrote:
Player for player I think Leigh are a tad stronger than Wakey, we're 5-10 points weaker.

The first two games are incredibly important. Its entirely plausible that Leigh could lose both of their opening games or win them both.

Having said that, I'm hoping that Salford beat both Wakey and Leigh before collapsing.

You are hoping and expecting a lot for the coming 8s , the Bulls days of dominance are over, Fax will finish above you , BE AFRAID.
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Re: Final games and 8's : Thu Jul 30, 2015 9:34 pm  
Fan of team B wrote:
Fan of team A wrote:
We're not as good as the team bottom of the league we hope to get promoted to


When will you realise your days at the top of that league are over?
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