Alice's Phallus wrote:
This thread has been derailed.
I want the posters to go back to the original question
OK then love, just to show how utterly clueless you are.
Do you actually understand the franchise and how it work, because I don't think you have the first idea.
So a word to the wise, it's not the Lego league, you can't just add and remove bit's just to satisfy the ever changing whims of people like yourself.
SL is made up of 14 Ltd companies with Boards, Shareholders and Employees - all of which are protected by company and employment law - this overides anything the RFL may wish. For any of these companies to have their trading ability compromised will require a lot more than an RFL franchise. Basically for any of the 14 clubs to stand down would require them to have failed to maintain their SL standard to a very large degree. Theoretically if Cas don't get a new ground they could argue that as it was OK last time then their score is the same and seeing as Widnes would not be able to match them on other criteria Cas if they took it to court would win. For any club to step down IMHO it would have to be a near voluntary act and as such unlikey.
Come 2012 and 2015 you cannot just get rid of a club to make way for another. From this point on the franchise is like an MOT test. So long as the existing 14 SL teams meet the criteria for SL and have run their affairs well and been competitive for most of the next three years they are in. They cannot be removed, it's enshrined into the franchise - why do you think they were all so desperate to get it.
Judging on the playing side this season then all clubs except Celtic look assured of a franchise. Even they are unlikely to finish bottom two for all three seasons, for me it's bottom two you need to avoid.
The only clubs in real danger are Wakey, Cas, Saints, Salford, Celtic and possibly Bradford on Stadium issues. The only other club at risk are London and maybe Celtic who's crowds for my money simply can't support a SL club long term.
So assuming all clubs sort their Stadia out then I can't see any losing a frachise.
This means SL needs to expand to 16 teams by 2012 and 18 by 2015 to fit in new teams for your plans to stand a chance.
That will require a 4 million pound a season increase in TV revenue (not including inflation). If you think that will happen you are truly mentally unbalanced.
If you want me to predict SL 2015 I reckon it may be someting like this.
Widnes will replace someone, probably either Celtic or London who may fail
economically or any of a number of clubs that may fail stadium wise.
Toulouse will not last in NL1 and will never make SL IMHO because there isn't enough talent in France to sustain them.
Utterly stupid names such as Glasgow, Paris and Dublin(especially hillarious) will never ever ever play in SL. If you knew anything about the UK you would know that, football is king in these areas and always will be - their simply isn't the interest and there never will be.
I also think the SKY money will reduce as TV gets less and less profitable in which case heartland teams will be far better placed to survive.
So for me possesion is 9/10th of the law and the existing 14 clubs will not be easily budged.
Welcome to the real world.
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