Re: Today’s match v Saints. : Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:42 pm
rubber duckie wrote:
In which case to say my post is untruthful, is utter bollox.
I’ll give you a piece of advice, and you’re free to do with it as you wish…
Bookies trust stats because they have too. And yes the longer the stats are, the more reliable they become.
But bookies also lose, otherwise we wouldn’t use them.
And they lose because a times the stats breakdown.
The stats now show Warrington with greater odds, but only in the last month.
Wire have gone against the stats grain and lost a couple of games in the last month, that they really ought to have won, and where heavy odds on to do so.
Those 2 games have turned the stats on its head.
Now what bookies hate, is someone having a little bit of knowledge.
There are reasons why Warrington got beaten.
Warrington playing disadvantage in numbers. Resting players, key players, Dufty, out injured, with a view to be ready soon.
In addition Wire played 2 big derby games back to back, and one with disadvantaged in numbers and won them big, but found themselves fatigued 6 days later against a fresh KR team.
These are all very sound reasons to Warrington failing v KR and in the last month.
Those circumstances twist the form guide/stats to make Wire look the lest best out of the top 3. We are not.
Those little bits of knowledge is what makes someone who isn’t close enough to the club, to only trust the stats.
It’s how gamblers at the bookies lose their money.
It’s called “paper form”…and bookies love it!!
I know that Warrington at near full strength, that don’t find themselves playing a man down, will easily beat Hull KR, and will edge Wigan.
I trust what I have seen, not what the form guide says.
I hope you will not lose too much money on Hull KR, but you will lose, and you can take that to the bank.
I’ll give you a piece of advice, and you’re free to do with it as you wish…
Bookies trust stats because they have too. And yes the longer the stats are, the more reliable they become.
But bookies also lose, otherwise we wouldn’t use them.
And they lose because a times the stats breakdown.
The stats now show Warrington with greater odds, but only in the last month.
Wire have gone against the stats grain and lost a couple of games in the last month, that they really ought to have won, and where heavy odds on to do so.
Those 2 games have turned the stats on its head.
Now what bookies hate, is someone having a little bit of knowledge.
There are reasons why Warrington got beaten.
Warrington playing disadvantage in numbers. Resting players, key players, Dufty, out injured, with a view to be ready soon.
In addition Wire played 2 big derby games back to back, and one with disadvantaged in numbers and won them big, but found themselves fatigued 6 days later against a fresh KR team.
These are all very sound reasons to Warrington failing v KR and in the last month.
Those circumstances twist the form guide/stats to make Wire look the lest best out of the top 3. We are not.
Those little bits of knowledge is what makes someone who isn’t close enough to the club, to only trust the stats.
It’s how gamblers at the bookies lose their money.
It’s called “paper form”…and bookies love it!!
I know that Warrington at near full strength, that don’t find themselves playing a man down, will easily beat Hull KR, and will edge Wigan.
I trust what I have seen, not what the form guide says.
I hope you will not lose too much money on Hull KR, but you will lose, and you can take that to the bank.
You know that Warrington will easily beat Hull KR, edge Wigan but you only give them an equal chance of winning the grand final as Hull KR and Wigan?
First you say Hull KR, Wigan and Warrington each have an equal chance of winning the grand final, which clearly isn't true, and now you say this.
What a load of waffle
