Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 9:13 am  

Wanderer wrote:

What do you see the handicap being?

Phew! That's a tough one...

I reckon we might be getting between 4 and 8 points start? Over recent seasons, the bookies have tended to oppose the Dons more than the league tables might suggest - correctly so in most instances. You don't know how the Dewsbury v Rochdale handicap compared to ours, do you? I didn't look.

The Dons might be worth a punt if getting 10 or more start? How do you see it?

[Wanderer]

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 9:31 am  

I didn’t look at the Dewsbury v Rochdale handicap unfortunately.

I expect the Dons to get 8 or 10 points start tomorrow but that wouldn't be enough to tempt me in.

[Wanderer]

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 9:41 am  

Having done some digging, Rochdale had 28 start.

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 9:52 am  

Wanderer wrote:

I didn’t look at the Dewsbury v Rochdale handicap unfortunately.

I expect the Dons to get 8 or 10 points start tomorrow but that wouldn't be enough to tempt me in.

You ruthless Wanderer!

What about a Dons win outright at 6/4, would that tempt you? I doubt the bookies would be that generous.

More like 8/11 Oldham, 11/10 Dons at best.

Any thoughts of backing Oldham at 4/5, say?

[Wanderer]

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 9:58 am  

I'd be amazed if Oldham at 4/5 was available. I'm thinking they'll be 2/5 or thereabouts.

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 10:55 am  

Wanderer wrote:

I'd be amazed if Oldham at 4/5 was available. I'm thinking they'll be 2/5 or thereabouts.

Crikey, do you think Oldham will be that short?

Looking at the percentages, I'd probably go Oldham 56%, Draw 4%, Dons 40%.

That converts to odds of 1.79, 25.00 and 2.50 which in fractions comes in at approximately:

Oldham 4/5, Draw 25/1, Dons 6/4.

You're thinking more on the lines of Oldham 71%, Draw 4%, Dons 25% are you?

Oldham 2/5, Draw 25/1, Dons 3/1.

I can't wait to see the odds tomorrow. I can see you lumping on Oldham!

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 11:19 am  

Double Movement wrote:

In an earlier post, I analysed the points conceded by Oldham and the Dons.

Here's Dewsbury's record:

Home: 12, 10, 10, 6, 6 and 0
Away: 26, 18, 16, 6, 6, and 4

Conceded 20+ points: Dons 50%, Oldham 50%, Dewsbury 9%.

Conceded fewer than 10 points: Dons 10%, Oldham 10%, Dewsbury 50%.

Being able to score points is important but not conceding points is probably even more important. Our defence looks vulnerable against sides we should be able to shut out. Against better sides, you can't give them a head start or else there is likely to be no way back.

The evidence suggests tomorrow could be a high scoring game. We'll see!

We did not concede too many points at Dewsbury by them attacking in the conventional sense, it wasn't until they took to the sky's that we lost the scoreline. A fact I have no doubt which will not be lost on Oldham.

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 1:24 pm  

Dewsbury's handicap went to 32pts late on but obviously still covered it, fully expect dons to receive 6 or 8 tomorrow. Anything under 10 and I'm going quite large on oldham as i thought they were decent at ours.

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 3:47 pm  

Skybets current odds to win the league:
Dewsbury 1/4,
Dons 4/1,
Oldham 8/1.

[Jemmo]

Re: Oldham v Dons Sunday 18th June 2023 3pm : Sat Jun 17, 2023 3:51 pm  

I can not guarantee it, but I have seen in the listings that there will be coverage of the game on Oldham Community Radio https://www.oldhamcommunityradio.com/li ... lbmq-NjW-I

I can not guarantee it, but I have seen in the listings that there will be coverage of the game on Oldham Community Radio https://www.oldhamcommunityradio.com/li ... lbmq-NjW-I